Forex Forecast: GBP/JPY, EUR/USD

GBP/JPY crosses below 50-day SMA as bearish bias strengthens [Video]

(Stefanos Oikonomidis – XM)

GBPJPY has experienced a steep uptrend since late September, with the price gaining almost 15% and posting a fresh 6½-year high of 172.10. However, the pair has declined moderately from its recent peak and has been trading below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) in the last couple of sessions.

The momentum indicators currently suggest that bearish forces are intensifying. Specifically, the RSI is declining beneath its 50-neutral mark, while the MACD histogram is retreating below both zero and its red signal line.

In the negative scenario, bearish actions could send the price to test the recent low of 164.50. Sliding beneath that floor, the bears could aim for the recent support of 163.04, which overlaps with the 200-day SMA. Failing to halt there, the attention could shift to 162.30 before the 159.70 hurdle appears on the radar.

On the flip side, should buyers re-emerge and push the price higher, initial resistance could be met at the 50-day SMA, currently at 165.91. Piercing through this region, the price could challenge the October resistance of 167.50. Conquering this barricade, the bulls may then aim for the double-top region of 169.08.

Overall, GBPJPY appears to have begun another round of weakness as negative momentum is intensifying. Therefore, a break below the 200-day SMA could spark a steep downtrend.

EUR/USD outlook: The euro may accelerate higher on a break of key Fibo resistance

(Slobodan Drvenica – Windsor Brokers)

The Euro is consolidating after a strong acceleration in the past two days (the pair was up 1.92%) but keeps a firm tone.

Bulls hit a new multi-month high on Friday and eye the next target at 1.0578 (Fibo 38.2% of larger1.2266/0.9535 downtrend), a break of which to confirm the reversal pattern on the monthly chart and open the way for a stronger recovery.

Strong bullish momentum on the daily and weekly chart and double golden-cross (5/200 and 10/200 DMA) support the action, although headwinds could be expected as studies are overbought on both timeframes.

Look for better levels to re-enter the bullish market, while dips hold above the rising 10DMA (1.0387).

Res: 1.0578; 1.0620; 1.0700; 1.0786.
Sup: 1.0480; 1.0426; 1.0387; 1.0366.