Spec FX NFP Forecast Challenge 2026 — Predict Gold Price & Win Cash Prizes

What Is the NFP Forecast Challenge?

The NFP Forecast Challenge is a monthly event hosted by Spec FX where traders and analysts predict the direction
and price level of Gold (XAUUSD) at the exact moment of the U.S. Non-Farm Payroll report release. Unlike traditional
trading contests, this challenge does not involve live trading — participants only submit forecasts and compete
based on accuracy.

How to Participate

1. Go to the official Spec FX NFP Challenge page.
2. Select the direction (Up/Down/Doji) for Gold at NFP release.
3. Enter your forecast price value (to two decimals).
4. Submit before the deadline (up to 1 hour before NFP release).
5. Await results — winners are contacted by email within three business days.

Prize Structure

Each month, the top forecasts are rewarded with real cash prizes:

• 1st Place: $88 USD.
• 2nd Place: $38 USD.
• 3rd Place: $18 USD.

Winners typically receive their rewards after completing account verification within 72 hours.

Forecast Rules & Evaluation

Forecasts are judged based on the 1-minute XAUUSD candle at the exact NFP release time. The candle type
determines direction and accuracy:

• Bullish: Open price is less than close.
• Bearish: Open price is greater than close.
• Doji: Open and close are approximately equal.

Tips for Better Forecasts

Predicting market reactions around NFP requires both economic insight and market sensitivity. Experts recommend:

• Use economic calendars to review consensus estimates.
• Examine related employment and inflation data for clues.
• Be aware of volatility — NFP often causes sharp moves.

FAQ

Do I need to place trades to join?

No — you only need to submit your forecast form to participate.

How soon are winners notified?

Winners are usually emailed within three business days after NFP release.